Ukraine, Invasion, and the Future

Among the mistakes in formulating foreign policy is an over-emphasis on “costs.” The reality is that the cash can always be found, whether by the United States or an economically impaired Russia. The reality is that few wars or invasions ever turn a profit, either for the victor or the loser. The Ukrainian War would probably not have occurred in the first place were the conflict about economic interests, which are calculable and susceptible to compromise. But that is far less the case when it comes to national pride, geopolitical ambitions, or matters of “credibility.” There is nothing to calculate in any of this, and such concerns have spurred the present crisis.

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